Excerpt from "The Aging Factor in Health
and Disease"
In 1825, an English actuary named Benjamin
Gompertz observed that death rates in humans rise exponentially after
sexual maturity, and he proposed a simple formula to define the relationship
between the force of mortality and age within a population. This is
often used to characterize the age-related changes in mortality of
a genetically heterogeneous population, whether human or animal. The
Gompert z curve implies no finite maximum age for a species, strain
or population, but does predict decreasing probabilities of survival
with increasing age. The crucial question now is: Can the slope of
the Gompertz curve be altered by biological interventions, i.e., can
basic research on aging provide interventions to improve quality of
life by decelerating the rate of senescence.
A different, but simpler way to present survival data is to plot the
fraction of individuals remaining in a population as a function of
the age of the population, i.e., a survival curve. From such a plot
it is possible to: 1) detect early deaths which presumably are not
due to the usual senescence - related changes; 2) determine the median
age of death of the individuals within the population; and 3) estimate
the maximum life span of the species, i.e., an age at which the chance
of survival of any individual is negligibly low. The past century
has been characterized by large decreases in early deaths caused by
infectious diseases, and a dramatic i n c rease in the average life
expectancy of humans due to improvements in sanitation, health care,
housing, nutrition, the development of vaccines, and the discovery
of antibiotics (see F i g u re 1). Substantial future pro g ress will
depend upon obtaining a much better understanding of what aging is,
particularly the adverse components, and how to intervene to either
prevent, reverse or retard these adverse age-related changes.
As a result of the striking increase in the life expectancy of Americans
in the 20th century, the United States of America is now anticipating
a doubling of Americans aged 65 or older, from 35 million in 2000
to at least 69 million in 2020. This doubling in the number of individuals
aged 65 or more could bring with it large increases in d i s a b i
l i t y, loss of function, and the cost of health c a re for this
segment of the population. Thus, it is imperative that the biomedical
community make substantial advances in reducing the major causes of
disability in the elderly population. This can only occur with appropriate
levels of investment in aging re s e a rch. Edward Schneider estimates
that the United States currently spends only 0.3% as much on aging
re s e a rch as it does on health care services for older people (
S c h n e i d e r, 1999). Money spent on re s e a rch to better understand
the mechanisms of aging and the causes of age-related disease may
lead to i n t e rventions to both postpone the need for a g i n g
- related health care, and partially pay for itself in reduced health
care costs. Whether these practical benefits will start to accrue
in years or in decades will depend on the vigor of the investment.
Aging vs. Age-related Pathology:
The Role of Age-Related Changes
A continuing debate has been whether a pattern
of aging free of disease can be dissected away from the overlapping
development of age-related diseases such as cancer, cardiovascular
disease, osteoporosis, osteoarthritis, diabetes, and a large variety
of neurodegenerative diseases, including Alzheimer disease. The most
substantial attempt (more..) (Full
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